The object that briefly rose to the highest impact odds since 2004 — then was ruled out in three weeks. A small-asteroid case study in how the system works.
Ruled out after follow-up observations. Impact odds for 2032 fell roughly 600× as the orbit was refined — the normal, reassuring arc.
Every object is pulled from NASA/JPL, ESA and the Minor Planet Center. Nothing here is invented or gamified.
We turn diameters, distances and velocities into plain language — “inside the Moon’s orbit,” “between Tunguska and a bomb.”
Derived figures are shown as ranges with their assumptions. Astronomers rule out almost every flagged object as data improves.